While betting on football is arguably one of the most entertaining activities out there, predicting the outcome of a soccer match is by no means an easy feat. It takes time and effort.
And one should be able to weigh several factors against each other in order to deduce the most likely outcome. Now, with the sheer number of betting markets out there, a wager is so much more than just picking which team you think would be the winner.
Today, we will explore how to go about making the most accurate football predictions ever.
Football is a highly unpredictable game. There’s no saying what could happen in those 90 minutes. A rogue last-minute goal comes out of nowhere, late equalizers turn the whole match upside down, and underdogs win when you least expect it. That’s the beauty of the game, this is what makes it so entertaining.
While this is great for fans of the sport, punters might not feel the same way. The volatile nature of the game makes prediction so very difficult. How does one go about doing this? Well, to put it simply – research.
There are several factors that influence the outcome of a game. Many of these are known to us before the game even begins. Predicting the outcome of a football match is less about foreseeing the future, and more about using and comparing existing information to come up with the most likely outcome. Here are some of the factors you would take into consideration while predicting the outcome of a match.
If there’s one thing that would naturally affect the outcome of a match, it’s the players. The players can make or break a team. They need to be a strong cohesive unit, or they will quickly crumble. Always be sure to compare the players of both teams, their formation and what style of football they play. Will a particular side’s strikers be able to penetrate the other’s defense? Are they any injuries to some of the key players? How do their playing styles stack up against each other? There are some questions you would take into consideration.
2. Current position
A team’s current position on a league table, for example, is a testament of one thing – their form. Where they rank give you a fair idea of how they’re performing, and where they’re likely to finish the rest of the season. Taking a look at how many matches they won and lost, how many goals they’ve scored and conceded gives you a fair idea of how they would potentially perform in the future.
3. Previous encounters
Always take into consideration both the teams’ previous matches with each other. Apart from the results, you would need to take a look at multiple factors such as possession rates, corners, fouls, goals on target, attempts to score to name a few. This gives you an idea of which side is dominant, and you can make predictions based on patterns you find.
Where a match is taking place is a lot more important than you may think for one reason – the home advantage. Most leagues and tournaments see over a 50% home win rate. This number is a lot higher when the team is a top-flight one. Most away teams tend to perform poorly as they’re playing in an unfamiliar location, and they’re usually fatigued by travel.